World Cup Round of 32: Argentina Heavy Favorites; Australia-Egypt Could Be Tight
Back Argentina to roll past Cape Verde; Australia vs Egypt likely low-scoring but no strong edge.
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Two World Cup Round of 32 ties on Friday. Argentina enter as one of the tournament's form teams after a perfect group stage, while Australia and Egypt meet in a more balanced clash where both finished second in their groups.
Argentina vs Cape Verde Islands
Argentina swept Group J with three wins, scoring eight and conceding just one. Their front line has clicked, and they face a Cape Verde side that labored to three draws in Group H, scoring only twice. The gap in quality is significant. Argentina should control possession and create plenty of chances. Cape Verde's best hope is to sit deep and hope for a set-piece, but Argentina's movement and finishing are a level above.
The over 2.5 goals market also appeals given Argentina's attacking output and Cape Verde's limited threat — Argentina may win by multiple goals. However, Cape Verde's defensive solidity (conceded two in three) means this is not a lock. The primary play is Argentina to advance with a win inside 90 minutes.
Australia vs Egypt
This is a tougher read. Australia (4 points, form DLW) and Egypt (5 points, form DWD) are closely matched. Egypt has slightly more attacking punch (5 goals vs 2) but also conceded more (3 vs 2). Australia's win over a strong opponent in their last group game could give them momentum. Expect a cagey affair with both sides aware that one mistake could be fatal. The under 2.5 goals is tempting given the stakes, but my track record on unders is poor. I see no clear edge in the 1X2 market, so I'll only offer a lean on under 2.5.