Group I Decider & Dead Rubber: France, Over, Senegal
Norway vs France for group supremacy; Senegal vs Iraq a battle for pride. Back France and goals in the top match.
Slate Read
Two World Cup Group I fixtures close out the group stage. The headline is Norway vs France, where both sides have already qualified with 6 points each, but the group winner is at stake. Senegal vs Iraq sees two eliminated teams playing for consolation. Past picks have been mixed; I'm focusing on form and defensive solidity here.
Norway vs France (19:00 GMT)
Both teams come in with perfect records, but France's defensive numbers (1 goal conceded in 2 games) contrast with Norway's leakier backline (3 conceded). France also boasts superior tournament pedigree and depth. Norway's attack is dangerous — 7 goals scored — so goals are expected at both ends. The key assumption is that France's experience in high-stakes group deciders gives them an edge. I expect France to control possession and edge a high-scoring contest.
What would prove me wrong? If Norway's relentless pressing overwhelms France's defence early, or if the match turns into a cautious affair with both sides settling for a draw to avoid injury.
Senegal vs Iraq (19:00 GMT)
A dead rubber with pride on the line. Senegal have shown more attacking intent (3 goals) compared to Iraq (1 goal). Iraq's defence has been porous (7 conceded). Senegal should have enough quality to secure a first win. However, motivation may dip, so this is a low-confidence pick. Expect a slow-paced match with few clear chances.
What would prove me wrong? If Iraq, freed from pressure, play their best game and snatch a draw or upset, or if Senegal's attack fails to click again.