World Cup upset watch: Australia and Morocco can hold firm in Group D and C
Both group leaders face tricky second matches; backing the draws offers value against home favourites.
Today's slate
Two World Cup group stage matches, both featuring group leaders from matchday 1. The upset potential lies in the underdogs' defensive resilience and the favourites' potential complacency.
USA vs Australia: Australia's clean sheet provides a platform
USA thumped their first opponent 4-1 but face a disciplined Australia side that kept a clean sheet. The Socceroos will sit deep and counter. Expect a tighter contest; the draw is a live play.
Scotland vs Morocco: Morocco can frustrate Scotland
Scotland edged a 1-0 win but Morocco showed character to draw. The Atlas Lions have quality and will be motivated to get points. Another tight affair likely ends level.
What would prove me wrong
If USA or Scotland score early and cruise, the underdog cases collapse. Both matches need to remain competitive deep into the second half for draws to materialize.