World Cup openers: Croatia, Panama can snatch points on opening day
With no form to lean on, tournament nerves and contrasting styles suggest two draws in Group L.
Slate overview
Three World Cup group-stage openers, all on neutral soil in the US. No recent form available — every team starts at zero. That makes the usual underdog hunting tricky, but tournament history tells us first matches often produce surprises, especially when the gap in quality is narrower than the betting odds suggest.
England vs Croatia — a rivalry that rewards the draw
England are the flashier side, but Croatia have consistently overperformed in major tournaments, reaching the semifinals in 2022 and 2018. These teams drew 0-0 at Euro 2020 and Croatia won 1-0 in the 2018 semifinal. With no warm-up data, the safest bet is that a tight, tactical affair ends level. England's attacking talent vs Croatia's midfield control cancels out.
Ghana vs Panama — an open door for a share of the spoils
Neither side is a traditional powerhouse. Ghana bring African Cup pedigree and World Cup experience; Panama are tournament debutants full of energy. In such matchups, the underdog often snatches a point before fatigue sets in. Expect a cautious start and a draw that keeps both in the group hunt.
Portugal vs Congo DR — a mismatch, but overs possible
Portugal are clear favorites with a stacked squad. Congo DR are the clear underdog and may struggle to contain Portugal's attack. However, World Cup openers can be open, and Congo might grab a consolation. Over 2.5 goals looks the more likely outcome than a clean sheet shutout.
What would prove me wrong
- If England score early and cruise, or Croatia miss chances entirely.
- If Ghana-Panama turns into a blowout one way.
- If Portugal stutter and keep it low-scoring.